₿Year-end guess

Crowd vs model

Guess Bitcoin's close on the last day of the year and see where you stand against other visitors and the power-law trend.

Where does Bitcoin close on 31 December?
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Your guess

USD

Visitors' guesses

Each bar is a price range. Bold orange: the range holding the trend on 31 December. Black: your guess.

How it works

One guess per visitor, editable until 15 December. We keep nothing personal: each visitor is told apart by a one-way hash.

In early January we compare the real close with the crowd and with the trend: who was closer, the crowd or the model?

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A guessing game for fun and learning, not investment advice.